Even before the N.C.A.A. men’s basketball tournament bracket was announced on Sunday, there was plenty of discussion about how much parity there was in this year’s field. The chatter only increased after Louisville, the tournament’s No. 1 overall seed, was placed in a brutally tough Midwest region that also includes Duke and Michigan State.
This condition is nothing new, however. Parity has been the rule for some time in the N.C.A.A. tournament.
Louisville is in fact the nominal favorite to win the tournament despite its tough draw, according to the FiveThirtyEight forecast. Still, Louisville has only a 23 percent chance of doing so, just ahead of Indiana at 20 percent.
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